Number one: Safety, which ranks right up there with reliability for cars, said Thomas Doll, president of Subaru of America, sitting in Subaru's cooperate office in Cherry Hill during our Executive Q&A interview.
But then, "for the younger buyer the Apple CarPlay and the Android Auto are very popular," Doll said.
"They hook their phones up. They have all their music and everything on the phone and through the phone there's a device that allows you to access the head unit with your own music. So, you can listen to your own songs instead of the radio. Satellite radio is popular with the older generation. They like to listen to Howard Stern, Seventies on Seven, Eight on Eighties, or whatever they are. They like to listen to the news like CNN, Fox News, the news channels that are on the upper end of the dial."
Oh yeah, they're important. We have 19 in the three-row SUV coming up. That's the Ascent, which we'll be launching in May or June. It's going to be the largest Subaru we've ever had.
The average age of a car is over 11 years, 11.2 years. So, it's really interesting in the car market today, because you've got the older vehicles, like you were mentioning with vehicles that you drive. You've got a lot of the newer vehicles that are out there. So, there's this great mass of cars. Cars just last longer. Our job is to try to turn that fleet over faster. If we could turn the fleet over faster, obviously, we'd sell more cars.
You have to adjust production. Fortunately, for us, we've been able to keep our demand. We're still growing. We're gaining market share. Our sales are increasing. While the market was down, we were up 6 percent, 7 percent through the first six or seven [months] of the year. We're hopeful, obviously, that continues through the second half of the year. But, this year we're going to be up, probably, maybe 6 to 8 percent, or something like that, in our total volume. But, not like past years where we were up 25 percent, 26 percent.
Oh, yeah. Over the last eight years, we've grown at a compound annual growth rate of 16.6 percent per year. There was one year where we had the earthquake and tsunami, where we couldn't get cars out of Japan, because of the Fukushima plant that went up, and lack of power and plant went out for a while. It turned out that the reason it went down was there was this one little factory that was very close to the Fukushima plant that produced this little chip that goes in our engine control modules. They had to figure out a way to get that plant up and running. Essentially, what they did is they rebuilt [that part] down in one of the south islands of Japan.
Especially after that!
That's really hard to say. I think if you ask a lot of people, they want a new car. Now, the question becomes whether they can afford the car. Because, with all of the requirements from a regulatory standpoint that we have to achieve — fuel economy, crash-test safety — the prices of the vehicles have gone up pretty significantly. So, that, in and of itself, eliminates some portion of the market that, otherwise, we might have. To answer your question, all the people that have a car, and had wanted a car, probably did satisfy the demand. Could there be more demand? Sure, because you've got this millennial generation that's coming up that's just now starting to buy cars.
That's not true. I think it's kind of blown out of proportion because when the kids come out of school these days they have a lot of college debt. They can't really afford to buy a new car. When I graduated from school, I think I had $2,000 worth of debt. I started [earning] $12,400 a year. So, my income level compared to my debt, was like 6 times. Now these kids come out and they've got $100,000, $80,000 of debt and they're maybe starting for $40,000, $50,000.
That's the point. So, their purchase of a vehicle is delayed. It's not that they're not buying. It's just that it's been delayed, or unless their parents buy them a car. They get married, or have a child or something and the parents want them driving around in a safe vehicle.
That happens a lot with us. Our customers tend to hand the car down to family members or others in the family. That's why we're so different in many respects from the average car company that's out there, because we don't have a lot of vehicles in the used-car market, because our customers tend to hold the cars for so long, and they stay in the family. So, our residual values and our resales values are quite high, compared to other manufacturers in the marketplace.